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Bond Market Commentary

Updates on bond market data, news, and activity each day.

May 20, 2025

Yields mixed ahead of Fed speakers

Over in bond land, Treasury yields are mixed before the opening bell Tuesday ahead of a slew of Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers scheduled for today. As of 6:47 AM ET, the yield on the 10-year note is unchanged at 4.45%, while the 30-year bond yield is increasing three basis points (0.03%) to 4.93%. The yield on the two-year note, which is more sensitive to changes in monetary policy, is down three basis points (0.03%) to 3.95%.

Treasury yields were lower on Monday as markets reacted to Moody’s late-Friday downgrade of the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1. Investors also reacted to several Fed speakers who suggested further policy rate cuts may not occur for several more meetings as central bankers await additional clarity and data on the economy. Meanwhile, the leading index declined as expected, falling 1.0%. The yield on the 10-year note was down three basis points (0.03%) to 4.45%, while the 30-year bond yield fell four basis points (0.04%) to 4.90%. The yield on the two-year note decreased two basis points (0.02%) to 3.98%.

On the data front, the Philadelphia Fed’s Non-Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey for May will be released today.

In the auction space, the U.S. Treasury is set to issue $70 billion in six-week bills.

In the central bank space, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, Boston Fed President Susan Collins, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack are scheduled to speak today as the Atlanta Fed’s Financial Markets Conference continues.

Municipal Market Commentary

The Bloomberg 30-day visible supply rose $1.869 billion to $18.180 billion on Monday, compared to the 12-month average of $13.192 billion.

This information is obtained from sources and data considered to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness is not guaranteed by Wells Fargo Advisors. Additional information available by request.

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