Each asset class has its own risk and return characteristics. The level of risk associated with a particular investment or asset class generally correlates with the level of return the investment or asset class might achieve. Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile. Stock values may fluctuate in response to general economic and market conditions, the prospects of individual companies, and industry sectors. Foreign investing has additional risks including those associated with currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, and different accounting standards. These risks are heightened in emerging markets. Small- and mid-cap stocks are generally more volatile, subject to greater risks and are less liquid than large company stocks. Growth stocks tend to fluctuate more than the overall market and growth may not be realized. The growth style of investing tends to shift in and out of favor. Sector investing can be more volatile than investments that are broadly diversified over numerous sectors of the economy and will increase a portfolio’s vulnerability to any single economic, political, or regulatory development affecting the sector. This can result in greater price volatility. Technology and internet-related stocks, especially of smaller, less-seasoned companies, tend to be more volatile than the overall market. Bonds are subject to market, interest rate, price, credit/default, liquidity, inflation and other risks. Prices tend to be inversely affected by changes in interest rates. High yield (junk) bonds have lower credit ratings and are subject to greater risk of default and greater principal risk. Although Treasuries are considered free from credit risk they are subject to other types of risks. These risks include interest rate risk, which may cause the underlying value of the bond to fluctuate. The commodities markets are considered speculative, carry substantial risks, and have experienced periods of extreme volatility. Investing in a volatile and uncertain commodities market may cause a portfolio to rapidly increase or decrease in value which may result in greater share price volatility. Real estate has special risks including the possible illiquidity of underlying properties, credit risk, interest rate fluctuations and the impact of varied economic conditions.
Digital assets, also known as cryptocurrency or bitcoin, as an asset class is highly volatile, can become illiquid at any time, and is for investors with a high risk tolerance. Digital assets may also be more susceptible to market manipulation than securities. Digital assets are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or the Securities Investor Protection Corporation. Investors in crypto do not benefit from the same regulatory protections applicable to registered securities. Digital asset or cryptocurrency is not a physical currency, nor is it legal tender. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are a very speculative investment and involves a high degree of risk. Investors must have the financial ability, sophistication/experience and willingness to bear the risks of an investment, and a potential total loss of their investment. An investor could lose all or a substantial portion of his/her investment. Digital assets have limited operating history or performance. Fees and expenses associated with digital asset investment may be substantial. Digital assets are sometimes exchanged for U.S. dollars or other currencies around the world, but they are not backed or supported by any government or central bank. Their value is completely derived by market forces of supply and demand, and they are more volatile than traditional fiat currencies.
Alternative investments, such as hedge funds, private equity/private debt and private real estate funds, are speculative and involve a high degree of risk that is appropriate only for those investors who have the financial sophistication and expertise to evaluate the merits and risks of an investment in a fund and for which the fund does not represent a complete investment program. They entail significant risks that can include losses due to leveraging or other speculative investment practices, lack of liquidity, volatility of returns, restrictions on transferring interests in a fund, potential lack of diversification, absence and/or delay of information regarding valuations and pricing, complex tax structures and delays in tax reporting, less regulation and higher fees than mutual funds. Hedge fund, private equity, private debt and private real estate fund investing involves other material risks including capital loss and the loss of the entire amount invested. A fund's offering documents should be carefully reviewed prior to investing.
Hedge fund strategies, such as Equity Hedge, Event Driven, Macro and Relative Value, may expose investors to the risks associated with the use of short selling, leverage, derivatives and arbitrage methodologies. Short sales involve leverage and theoretically unlimited loss potential since the market price of securities sold short may continuously increase. The use of leverage in a portfolio varies by strategy. Leverage can significantly increase return potential but create greater risk of loss. Derivatives generally have implied leverage which can magnify volatility and may entail other risks such as market, interest rate, credit, counterparty and management risks. Arbitrage strategies expose a fund to the risk that the anticipated arbitrage opportunities will not develop as anticipated, resulting in potentially reduced returns or losses to the fund.
Diversification does not guarantee profit or protect against loss in declining markets.
Conservative Income: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 76% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 3% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 3% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 12% S&P 500 Index, 2% Russell Midcap Index, 2% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Moderate Growth and Income: Moderate Growth and Income: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 30% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 6% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 5% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 30% S&P 500 Index, 8% Russell Midcap Index, 8% MSCI EAFE Index, 5% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 4% Bloomberg Commodity Index, 2% MarketVector™ Digital Assets 100 Index.
Aggressive Growth: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 39% S&P 500 Index, 13% Russell Midcap Index, 5% Russell 2000 Index, 18% MSCI EAFE Index, 15% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 5% Bloomberg Commodity Index, 3% MarketVector™ Digital Assets 100 Index.
Bloomberg Multiverse Index provides a broad-based measure of the global fixed-income bond market. The index represents the union of the Global Aggregate Index and the Global High-Yield Index and captures investment grade and high yield securities in all eligible currencies.
Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based measure of the investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market including government, corporate and mortgage-backed securities.
The Bloomberg U.S. Government/Credit Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the non-securitized component of the U.S. Aggregate Index. The index includes investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed-rate treasuries, government-related and corporate securities.
The Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index tracks fixed-rate agency mortgage backed pass-through securities guaranteed by Ginnie Mae (GNMA), Fannie Mae (FNMA), and Freddie Mac (FHLMC). The index is constructed by grouping individual TBA-deliverable MBS pools into cohorts and then index inclusion rules are applied at the cohort level. Introduced in 1985, the GNMA, FHLMC and FNMA fixed-rate indices for 30- and 15-year securities were backfilled to January 1976, May 1977, and November 1982, respectively.
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index measures the USD-denominated, high-yield, fixed-rate corporate bond market. Bonds are classified as high yield if the middle rating from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch is Ba1/BB+/BB+ or lower. If only two ratings are available, the lower rating is used; if only one rating exists, that rating is applied. Bonds from issuers with an emerging markets country of risk are excluded. The index is a component of the U.S. Universal and Global High Yield Indices and was created in 1998, with history backfilled to July 1, 1983.
Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bill (1–3 Month) Index includes all publicly issued zero-coupon U.S. Treasury Bills that have a remaining maturity of less than 3 months and more than 1 month, are rated investment grade, and have $250 million or more of outstanding face value. In addition, the securities must be denominated in U.S. dollars and must be fixed rate and non-convertible.
Bloomberg Commodity Index tracks 22 physical commodities across energy, metals, agriculture, and livestock sectors. Each sector receives a base weight reflecting its share of global production and consumption, with a 15% cap per sector to prevent over-concentration in any single commodity or sector. The index uses liquidity data (trading activity) and U.S.-dollar-weighted production data to determine relative quantities of commodities. The index is composed entirely of exchange-traded commodity futures contracts, which are never taken to delivery. As contracts near expiration, they are rolled into later-dated contracts to maintain continuous exposure. Rolls are typically implemented over a 5-day period, gradually increasing the weighting of the new contract from 0% to 100% in increments of 20% per day. Some subindices, like the Bloomberg WTI Crude Oil Subindex, roll every other month, reflecting a mix of near-term and longer-term futures returns.
J.P. Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI) Global is a U.S.-dollar-denominated, investible, market-cap-weighted index representing a broad universe of emerging market sovereign and quasi-sovereign debt.
MarketVectorTM Digital Assets 100 Index is a market cap-weighted index which tracks the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid digital assets in the global cryptocurrency market, rebalanced monthly. Base date 31 December 2014, with a base value of 100.00. Larger assets (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum) have proportionally greater influence on the index. MarketVector uses verified market data to calculate daily market caps.
MSCI All Country World Index (MSCI ACWI) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of 23 developed and 26 emerging markets.
MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, Far East) Index is a free-float-adjusted market-capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada.
MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free-float-adjusted market-capitalization-weighted index designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets.
NASDAQ Composite Index measures the market value of all domestic and foreign common stocks, representing a wide array of more than 5,000 companies, listed on the NASDAQ Stock Market.
Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000® Index, which represents approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. The Russell 3000 Index includes the largest 3,000 publicly traded companies in the U.S., providing a comprehensive benchmark for the U.S. stock market. It is designed to reflect the performance of the broad U.S. equity market and is widely used by investors and financial professionals to gauge market trends and performance.
Russell Midcap Index measures the performance of the 800 smallest companies in the Russell 1000 Index. The Russell 1000 index represents the largest 1,000 U.S. companies by market capitalization, forming a subset of the broader Russell 3000 Index, which covers the investable U.S. equity market.
S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of 500 widely held common stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market.
Pitchbook Data – Pitchbook uses a variety of publicly available sources found in targeted online searches including more than 1,000,000 web crawlers using national language processing and machine learning, secondary sources (those authored by someone not directly involved in the deal or fund), news (largest source of information) and other online sources. Quality assurance uses preventive validations, corrective validations, and mutual reviews in an effort to ensure accuracy of data. Data is educational and illustrative purposes only and there are no guarantees as to accuracy of data or content.
An index is unmanaged and not available for direct investment.
Global Investment Strategy (GIS) is a division of Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Inc. (WFII). WFII is a registered investment adviser and wholly owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., a bank affiliate of Wells Fargo & Company.
The information in this report was prepared by Global Investment Strategy. Opinions represent GIS’ opinion as of the date of this report and are for general information purposes only and are not intended to predict or guarantee the future performance of any individual security, market sector or the markets generally. GIS does not undertake to advise you of any change in its opinions or the information contained in this report. Wells Fargo & Company affiliates may issue reports or have opinions that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, this report.
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