Asset allocation and diversification are investment methods used to help manage risk. They do not guarantee investment returns or eliminate risk of loss including in a declining market.
Each asset class has its own risk and return characteristics. The level of risk associated with a particular investment or asset class generally correlates with the level of return the investment or asset class might achieve. Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile. Stock values may fluctuate in response to general economic and market conditions, the prospects of individual companies, and industry sectors. The prices of small/mid-company stocks are generally more volatile than large company stocks. They often involve higher risks because of smaller and mid-sized companies may lack the management expertise, financial resources, product diversification and competitive strengths to endure adverse economic conditions. Foreign investing has additional risks including those associated with currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, and different accounting standards. These risks are heightened in emerging markets. Small- and mid-cap stocks are generally more volatile, subject to greater risks and are less liquid than large company stocks. Bonds are subject to market, interest rate, price, credit/default, liquidity, inflation and other risks. Prices tend to be inversely affected by changes in interest rates. High yield (junk) bonds have lower credit ratings and are subject to greater risk of default and greater principal risk. Although Treasuries are considered free from credit risk they are subject to other types of risks. These risks include interest rate risk, which may cause the underlying value of the bond to fluctuate. U.S. government securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the federal government as to payment of principal and interest. Unlike U.S. government securities, agency securities carry the implicit guarantee of the U.S. government but are not direct obligations. Payment of principal and interest is solely the obligation of the issuer. If sold prior to maturity, both types of debt securities are subject to market risk. The commodities markets are considered speculative, carry substantial risks, and have experienced periods of extreme volatility. Investing in a volatile and uncertain commodities market may cause a portfolio to rapidly increase or decrease in value which may result in greater share price volatility. Investing in physical commodities, such as gold, silver, platinum or palladium exposes a portfolio to other risk considerations such as potentially severe price fluctuations over short periods of time and storage costs that exceed the custodial and/or brokerage costs associated with a portfolio’s other holdings. Energy sector may be adversely affected by changes in worldwide energy prices, exploration, production spending, government regulation, and changes in exchange rates, depletion of natural resources, and risks that arise from extreme weather conditions. Real estate has special risks including the possible illiquidity of underlying properties, credit risk, interest rate fluctuations and the impact of varied economic conditions. Cash Alternatives typically offer lower rates of return than longer-term equity or fixed-income securities and may not keep pace with inflation over extended periods of time.
Alternative investments, such as hedge funds, private equity/private debt and private real estate funds, are speculative and involve a high degree of risk that is appropriate only for those investors who have the financial sophistication and expertise to evaluate the merits and risks of an investment in a fund and for which the fund does not represent a complete investment program. They entail significant risks that can include losses due to leveraging or other speculative investment practices, lack of liquidity, volatility of returns, restrictions on transferring interests in a fund, potential lack of diversification, absence and/or delay of information regarding valuations and pricing, complex tax structures and delays in tax reporting, less regulation and higher fees than mutual funds. Hedge fund, private equity, private debt and private real estate fund investing involves other material risks including capital loss and the loss of the entire amount invested. A fund's offering documents should be carefully reviewed prior to investing.
Hedge fund strategies, such as Equity Hedge, Event Driven, Macro and Relative Value, may expose investors to the risks associated with the use of short selling, leverage, derivatives and arbitrage methodologies. Short sales involve leverage and theoretically unlimited loss potential since the market price of securities sold short may continuously increase. The use of leverage in a portfolio varies by strategy. Leverage can significantly increase return potential but create greater risk of loss. Derivatives generally have implied leverage which can magnify volatility and may entail other risks such as market, interest rate, credit, counterparty and management risks. Arbitrage strategies expose a fund to the risk that the anticipated arbitrage opportunities will not develop as anticipated, resulting in potentially reduced returns or losses to the fund.
*Performance statistics for the nine strategic asset allocations

Strategic allocation |
15-year annualized return (%) |
Average of expected return (%, 2010-2024) |
Average of expected return (%, 2009-2023) |
15-year annualized standard deviation |
Average of expected standard deviation (%, 2010-2024) |
Average of expected standard deviation (%, 2009-2023) |
15-year annualized Sharpe ratio |
Average of expected Sharpe ratio (%, 2010-2024) |
Average of expected Sharpe ratio (%, 2009-2023) |
Conservative Income |
3.19 |
4.46 |
4.48 |
4.47 |
3.95 |
3.95 |
0.44 |
0.48 |
0.48 |
Moderate Income |
4.98 |
5.33 |
5.40 |
5.83 |
5.61 |
5.73 |
0.65 |
0.51 |
0.50 |
Aggressive Income |
6.17 |
5.92 |
6.04 |
7.17 |
7.21 |
7.43 |
0.71 |
0.49 |
0.49 |
Conservative Growth & Income |
6.26 |
6.18 |
6.23 |
7.99 |
7.98 |
7.98 |
0.68 |
0.48 |
0.48 |
Moderate Growth & Income |
7.28 |
6.79 |
6.90 |
10.14 |
10.14 |
10.27 |
0.68 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
Aggressive Growth & Income |
8.25 |
7.30 |
7.46 |
12.34 |
12.27 |
12.53 |
0.68 |
0.44 |
0.44 |
Conservative Growth |
8.24 |
7.38 |
7.49 |
13.18 |
12.72 |
12.72 |
0.65 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
Moderate Growth |
8.84 |
7.84 |
7.98 |
15.24 |
14.77 |
14.86 |
0.63 |
0.42 |
0.42 |
Aggressive Growth |
9.12 |
8.19 |
8.36 |
17.01 |
16.50 |
16.68 |
0.60 |
0.41 |
0.42 |
Sources: © Morningstar Direct, All Rights Reserved, and Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Data as of December 31, 2024. Forecasts are not guaranteed and are subject to change.
We advise investors to select an asset allocation strategy deemed fit for their designated financial goals, time horizon, and ability and willingness to withstand market ebbs and flows. Our strategic allocations are based on capital market assumptions (CMAs) that reflect prospective trends over multiple market cycles.
As forward-looking estimates, CMAs are not guarantees of returns or risk. Rather, they are average annual estimates; actual performance for each calendar year will likely fluctuate around CMA estimations. As part of a comprehensive formulation process, we regularly review previous CMAs and consider factors to account for deviations from original estimates. This evaluation step helps to refine our CMA estimates going forward.
Performance results for the strategic allocations are for illustrative purposes only. Dynamic allocations change as needed with adjustments to the strategic allocations. Results do not represent actual trading, and the results achieved do not represent the experience of any individual investor. In addition, results do not reflect the impact of any fees, expenses, or taxes applicable to an actual investment. The indexes reflect the historical performance of the represented assets and assume the reinvestment of dividends and other distributions. An index is unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Different investments offer different levels of potential return and market risk.
Average of expected returns, risk, and Sharpe ratios from 2010-2024 are based on WFII’s strategic return and risk assumptions and strategic asset allocations from 2010 through 2024. Average of expected returns, risk, and Sharpe ratios from 2009-2023 are based on WFII’s strategic return and risk assumptions and strategic asset allocations from 2009 through 2023. For illustrative purposes. Forecasts are based on certain assumptions and on views of market and economic conditions which are subject to change. Strategic expected returns are forward-looking geometric return estimates from Wells Fargo Investment Institute of how asset classes and combinations of classes may respond during various market environments. Expected returns do not represent the returns that an investor should expect in any particular year. They are not designed to predict actual performance and may differ greatly from actual performance. There are no assurances that any estimates given will be achieved.
Capital market and asset class assumptions are estimates of how asset classes and combinations of classes may respond during various market environments. Expected returns represent our estimate of likely average returns over the next several market cycles. They do not represent the returns that an investor should expect in any particular year. Geometric return is the compounded annual return that would give the same result as a given series of annual returns based on those same assumptions. The return and risk assumptions are statistical averages that do not represent the experience of any individual investor or any specific time period. Standard deviation is a measure of volatility. It reflects the degree of variability surrounding the outcome of an investment decision; the higher the standard deviation, the greater the risk. The Sharpe ratio measures the additional amount of return that an investor could expect to receive for taking on additional risk.
CMA forecasts are not promises of actual returns or performance that may be realized. They are based on estimates and assumptions that may not occur.
The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific person who may receive it. Investors should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.
Conservative Income is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 76% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 3% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 3% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 12% S&P 500 Index, 2% Russell Midcap Index, 2% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Moderate Income is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 60% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 4% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 5% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 18% S&P 500 Index, 5% Russell Midcap Index, 4% MSCI EAFE Index, 2% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Aggressive Income is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 47% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 6% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 8% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 21% S&P 500 Index, 7% Russell Midcap Index, 7% MSCI EAFE Index, 2% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Conservative Growth & Income is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 39% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 6% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 5% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 23% S&P 500 Index, 8% Russell Midcap Index, 2% Russell 2000 Index, 7% MSCI EAFE Index, 4% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 4% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Moderate Growth & Income is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 30% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 6% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 5% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 27% S&P 500 Index, 10% Russell Midcap Index, 3% Russell 2000 Index, 8% MSCI EAFE Index, 5% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 4% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Aggressive Growth & Income is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 20% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 7% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 6% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global, 31% S&P 500 Index, 12% Russell Midcap Index, 3% Russell 2000 Index, 9% MSCI EAFE Index, 6% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 4% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Conservative Growth is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 16% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 3% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 33% S&P 500 Index, 13% Russell Midcap Index, 5% Russell 2000 Index, 14% MSCI EAFE Index, 9% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 5% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Moderate Growth is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 8% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, 3% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, 35% S&P 500 Index, 14% Russell Midcap Index, 6% Russell 2000 Index, 15% MSCI EAFE Index, 12% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 5% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Aggressive Growth is composed of: 2% Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index, 37% S&P 500 Index, 16% Russell Midcap Index, 7% Russell 2000 Index, 18% MSCI EAFE Index, 15% MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 5% Bloomberg Commodity Index.
Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based measure of the investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market.
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index covers the U.S. dollar-denominated, non-investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. Securities are classified as high-yield if the middle rating of Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P is Ba1/BB+/BB= or below. Included issues must have at least one year until final maturity.
Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bills (1–3 Month) Index is representative of money markets.
Bloomberg Commodity Index is comprised of 23 exchange-traded futures on physical commodities weighted to account for economic significance and market liquidity.
J.P. Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI) Global is a U.S. dollar-denominated, investible, market cap-weighted index representing a broad universe of emerging market sovereign and quasi-sovereign debt. While products in the asset class have become more diverse, focusing on both local currency and corporate issuance, there is currently no widely accepted aggregate index reflecting the broader opportunity set available, although the asset class is evolving. By using the same index provider as the one used in the developed-market bonds asset class, there is consistent categorization of countries among developed international bonds (ex. U.S.) and emerging market bonds.
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, Far East) Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada.
MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets. MSCI makes no express or implied warranties or representations and shall have no liability whatsoever with respect to any MSCI data contained herein. The MSCI data may not be further redistributed or used as a basis for other indices or any securities or financial products. This report is not approved, reviewed, or produced by MSCI.
Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000® Index, which represents approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. Russell 3000® Index measures the performance of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies based on total market capitalization, which represents approximately 98% of the investable U.S. equity market.
Russell Midcap® Index measures the performance of the 800 smallest companies in the Russell 1000 Index, which represent approximately 25% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 1000® Index. Russell 1000® Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which represents approximately 92% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index.
S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of 500 widely held common stocks that is generally considered representative of the US stock market.
An index is unmanaged and not available for direct investment.
Investment Grade bonds - A rating that indicates that a bond has a relatively low risk of default. Bond rating firms, such as Standard & Poor's, use different designations consisting of upper- and lower-case letters 'A' and 'B' to identify a bond's credit quality rating. 'AAA' and 'AA' (high credit quality) and 'A' and 'BBB' (medium credit quality) are considered investment grade. Credit ratings for bonds below these designations ('BB', 'B', 'CCC', etc.) are considered low credit quality, and are commonly referred to as "junk bonds".
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